open source caught up because it's open
Heat trend
Collecting trend data
The percentage is based on available heat signal, not comment count or independent people.
Claude model activity is surfacing — worth tracking for capability changes, ecosystem impact, and availability.
Open-source models have gained ground because their collaborative nature allows independent labs to work together, sharing weights and papers. This contrasts with closed-model labs that must constantly reinvent the wheel to maintain their lead. The collective effort of open-source development can eventually surpass proprietary secrets, especially if major closed-source players like Gemini, OpenAI, and Anthropic continue to operate independently rather than pooling their resources.
Proof is in the method honestly. Closed model labs need to constantly reinvent the wheel to keep lead. Open source has a bunch of independent labs practically working somewhat together. Eventually when everyone is just releasing weights and papers on how they did it the closed source secrets just get overrun by having plenty of very good secret sauces to the public.
That and NO DOUBT chinese labs are sharing internal secrets amongst each which explains how when any of them makes a big jump the others seem to follow almost immediately. If gemini/openai/anthropic put their heads together they'd have to compromise monopolies but they sure as hell wouldn't be struggling to keep the lead