do you think were overestimating short term ai impact and underestimating long term

A Reddit user discusses the common tendency to overestimate the short-term impact of new technology while underestimating its long-term effects, suggesting AI is a prime example. They note the current "breathless hype" about AI changing everything immediately is largely unfounded. Instead, they anticipate that the slow, compounding changes over years will ultimately be far more significant than current headlines suggest, prompting a discussion on whether we are currently in an overhyped short-term or underrated long-term phase.

This discussion uniquely frames the AI timeline by applying the "overestimate short-term, underestimate long-term" maxim, unlike most analyses focusing solely on immediate impacts.