Ex-OpenAI Employee: They're NOT Telling You What's Coming In 18 Months

Daniel Kokotajlo, a former OpenAI researcher and author of AI 2027, predicts that AI agents will automate software engineering by early 2027, leading to accelerated AI research and rapid progress toward superintelligence. He warns that most jobs may be safe for only 18 months before AGI can perform nearly any new role, potentially causing mass unemployment despite economic growth and cheaper goods. The discussion also covers a potential US–China AI arms race, autonomous weapons, and the challenge of detecting misaligned AI systems.

Unlike other AI predictions, this former OpenAI researcher offers a specific 18-month timeline for AGI's impact on employment and a detailed scenario for superintelligence by early 2027.