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XGBoost vs Human Markets [P]

AI summary

A developer is questioning the predictive power of XGBoost models compared to human markets. Despite feeding the model the same information available to human markets, the XGBoost model significantly underperforms, showing a 10 percentage point gap in Top 2 accuracy. Adding market pricing information to the model either has no effect or negatively impacts accuracy. The developer is unsure if they have reached the upper limit of XGBoost's capabilities or if there's an issue with data encoding or insufficient data.

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IngestedOffset at this time: UTC+0Sep 17, 2026, 20:00 UTC

Ingested
Sep 17, 2026, 20:00
Source type
Dev community

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