There is a decent indication that Astra/gpt-next is going to release next month.
热度趋势
趋势数据积累中
百分比基于当前可用热度信号，而非评论数或独立用户人数。
OpenAI 相关模型动态已经出现，适合跟踪能力变化、生态影响和后续可用性。
一项针对OpenAI合作伙伴访问情况的分析表明，“Astra/gpt-next”模型可能即将发布。根据以往的发布模式，合作伙伴通常会在公开发布前2-4周获得NDA访问权限，目前有中等偏弱的证据显示，此次访问发生在8月2日至7日左右。这一时间线推断，该模型可能会在8月下旬至9月下旬期间公开发布，与下个月发布的说法相符。
I don't trust people's claims about the release date, so I was wondering if I could figure out the release date based on when partners get access to the model ahead of the release. Normally it happens 2-4 weeks ahead of time (5.6 being an special case), but because everyone has signed NDA, they can't tell they have access to it.
So what I did, is instead of looking for people saying they have access to it, is to look for people who look like they have the model and can't talk about it, by looking at Twitter and the posts they make. If they suddenly stop speculating, then that is a decent chance that they now have access to the model.
The idea for this is mine, but research has been done by AI. The general conclusion is that:
"There is a weak/moderate evidence that partners got access to the next model between August 2nd and August 7th."
Considering previous times when partners has gotten access to a model, this would put it between end of August, to late late September if the situation with long delay of 5.6 were to happen again.
This prediction will get significantly better as weeks pass by and we have better sample rates.
Here are the research results if you are interested, first for Twitter/X itself:
https://chatgpt.com/share/6a806335-003c-83eb-aa1f-727e08e84b4a
and then later also for youtube/other media:
https://chatgpt.com/share/6a80634c-4620-83eb-a4d5-5c17704a4569
I don't think the second link contains decent evidence, but as time passes, it would be a great for disproving this conjecture.
My writing is garbage, so if it's hard to understand, just put my post though AI, I did not wanted to write it with AI because I hate those low effort AI posts.
TL;DR: I tried estimating the next model’s release by looking for signs that OpenAI partners quietly received NDA access. There’s weak-to-moderate evidence this happened around August 2–7, which, based on previous launches, would suggest a release sometime from late August to late September.