Why do people assume open weight providers will stay open weight forever

The assumption that open-weight model providers will remain open-weight indefinitely is questioned, as many open-source models, including those from Chinese developers and Mistral, are achieving efficiency comparable to closed-source models. The argument is that these providers, facing profitability issues, might eventually charge licensing fees for their models, much like closed-source alternatives, rather than leaving potential revenue untapped. The only exception might be companies like NVIDIA, which could benefit from lower LLM prices to drive demand.