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·11小时前·开发者社区 · RSS

33 years ago, Vernor Vinge (1944-2024) coined the term "Singularity" in reference to the point at which technological progress, driven by superhumanly intelligent machines, would be so great as to render our current models would be good as discarded. He predicted this event to occur ~30 years on.

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AI 摘要

弗诺·文奇(Vernor Vinge,1944-2024)在33年前创造了“奇点”一词,指的是由超人智能机器驱动的技术进步将达到一个临界点,使我们当前的模式变得过时。他预测这一事件将在30年内发生,预测的下限是2005年,上限是2030年。…

His prescience is truly incredible. Living in the stone age of the machines, he still predicted the current transpiring events, where such superhumanly intelligent machines are bound to exist within only a few years of his predicted date of 2023, while already demonstrating some greater than human capabilities.

The lower bound of his prediction for date at which this event would occur was 2005, and the upper bound 2030. But I think that his firm assertion at the beginning of this event occuring within a 30 years timespan still solidifies his overall predictions as being scarily close to the current timeline of events.

https://edoras.sdsu.edu/~vinge/misc/singularity.html

Reposted since there seemed to be a problem with the images not uploading.